BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Arkansas St
Class: 1A Class Rank: 81 Conference: Sun Belt Conference Record: (5-3) Overall: (8-4) Overall Strength = 153.02
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 09/01/2018 Home W 161.01 48 21 1B 29 ( 9- 4) SE Missouri St 8.67 18.33
2 09/08/2018 Away L 144.85 7 57 1A 1 ( 13- 0) Alabama -7.49 * -42.51
3 09/15/2018 Away W 155.23 29 20 1A 101 ( 3- 9) Tulsa 2.89 6.11
4 09/22/2018 Home W 146.11 27 20 1A 108 ( 4- 8) UNLV -6.23 13.23
5 09/29/2018 Away L * 149.14 21 28 1A 74 ( 10- 3) Georgia Southern -3.20 -3.80
6 10/09/2018 Home L * 137.51 9 35 1A 34 ( 11- 2) Appalachian St -14.83 -11.17
7 10/18/2018 Home W * 151.00 51 35 1A 118 ( 2- 10) Georgia St -1.33 17.33
8 10/27/2018 Away L * 145.24 43 47 1A 95 ( 7- 7) Louisiana-Lafayette -7.10 3.10
9 11/03/2018 Home W * 153.46 38 14 1A 125 ( 3- 9) South Alabama 1.12 22.88
10 11/10/2018 Away W * 170.74 44 16 1A 110 ( 5- 7) Coastal Carolina 18.40 9.60
11 11/17/2018 Home W * 152.84 31 17 1A 106 ( 6- 6) Louisiana-Monroe 0.50 13.50
12 11/24/2018 Away W * 160.93 33 7 1A 124 ( 3- 9) Texas St-San Marcos 8.59 17.41
13 12/29/2018 Neutral 1A 72 ( 7- 5) Nevada -1.79
Averages 152.34 31.8 26.4
Best game: 170.74 = 28 point win over Coastal Carolina
Worst game: 137.51 = 26 point loss to Appalachian St
Team stdev: 8.92